Marriot Vacations Worldwide Stock Performance

VAC Stock  USD 55.93  1.08  1.97%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Marriot Vacations holds a performance score of 12. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.18, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Marriot Vacations will likely underperform. Please check Marriot Vacations' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Marriot Vacations' current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Marriot Vacations Worldwide are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather abnormal basic indicators, Marriot Vacations exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.97
Five Day Return
1.29
Year To Date Return
(4.96)
Ten Year Return
14.59
All Time Return
210.89
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0583
Payout Ratio
0.6191
Last Split Factor
1:2
Forward Dividend Rate
3.2
Dividend Date
2026-01-07
1
Insider Trading
12/31/2025
 
Marriot Vacations dividend paid on 7th of January 2026
01/07/2026
2
Alojica and Royalton acquire The Westin Resort Spa Cancun
01/16/2026
3
Inside the Traitors castle A wedding venue once owned by an opium trader
01/23/2026
4
Modern Uzbekistan emerges as new tourist center of Central Asia
01/29/2026
5
Uber From Cash Burner to Cash-Flow Utility
02/02/2026
6
Watch Live Patriots coach Mike Vrabel meets with media ahead of Super Bowl
02/03/2026
7
Uber Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/04/2026
8
Marriott to Report Q4 Earnings What to Expect From the Stock
02/05/2026
9
The troubled UK town getting an incredible 20m boost - 1k homes and 4k jobs
02/06/2026
10
Plamondon Hospitality Partners Breaks Ground on Downtown Fredericks New Hotel Conference Center
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow574 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-115 M

Marriot Vacations Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,543  in Marriot Vacations Worldwide on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,050  from holding Marriot Vacations Worldwide or generate 23.11% return on investment over 90 days. Marriot Vacations Worldwide is generating 0.3748% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3901% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Marriot, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marriot Vacations is expected to generate 3.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Marriot Vacations Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Marriot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 55.93 90 days 55.93 
about 45.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marriot Vacations to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.84 (This Marriot Vacations Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of Marriot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.18 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Marriot Vacations will likely underperform. Additionally Marriot Vacations Worldwide has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Marriot Vacations Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marriot Vacations

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marriot Vacations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.8056.2158.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.4058.8161.22
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.3461.9168.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.281.742.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marriot Vacations. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marriot Vacations' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marriot Vacations' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marriot Vacations.

Marriot Vacations Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marriot Vacations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marriot Vacations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marriot Vacations Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marriot Vacations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.18
σ
Overall volatility
5.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Marriot Vacations Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marriot Vacations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marriot Vacations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marriot Vacations is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of January 2026 Marriot Vacations paid $ 0.8 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Plamondon Hospitality Partners Breaks Ground on Downtown Fredericks New Hotel Conference Center

Marriot Vacations Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marriot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marriot Vacations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marriot Vacations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments197 M

Marriot Vacations Fundamentals Growth

Marriot Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Marriot Vacations, and Marriot Vacations fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Marriot Stock performance.

About Marriot Vacations Performance

By analyzing Marriot Vacations' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Marriot Vacations' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Marriot Vacations has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Marriot Vacations has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 99.14  94.18 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.08 

Things to note about Marriot Vacations performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marriot Vacations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Marriot Vacations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marriot Vacations is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of January 2026 Marriot Vacations paid $ 0.8 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Plamondon Hospitality Partners Breaks Ground on Downtown Fredericks New Hotel Conference Center
Evaluating Marriot Vacations' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Marriot Vacations' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Marriot Vacations' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Marriot Vacations' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Marriot Vacations' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Marriot Vacations' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Marriot Vacations' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Marriot Vacations' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Marriot Vacations' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Marriot Vacations' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Marriot Vacations' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Marriot Vacations' price analysis, check to measure Marriot Vacations' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marriot Vacations is operating at the current time. Most of Marriot Vacations' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marriot Vacations' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marriot Vacations' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marriot Vacations to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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